What Does a Fractal Look Like?

What Does a Fractal Look Like? And What Does It Have to Do with the Stock Market? By Elliott Wave International Although Ralph N. Elliott came to his conclusions 50 years before the new science of fractals blossomed, he took a step that current observers of natural processes have yet to take. He explained not only that the progress of the market was fractal in nature but discovered and described the component patterns. Find out more about the stock market and fractals in this excerpt. Read more.

SPX - by moguita - update

Wednesday, June 30, 2010



The today down movement was stonger than i was expecting, that put me revising all the movement since 1130 in "micro".
Yesterday, all the indicators where very "smashed" pointing to a 3 of 3 with no positive divergence.

with this things in my mind i revised my count, and as i see it we still are in wave (i) since 1130

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update



Looking at yesterday's action, and the movement in indicators, this looks to me as the best way to count this.

Good luck

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Possible H&S underway (daily chart)

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

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EUR/USD

Monday, June 28, 2010





It has been some time, but nothing new to add...really

Good Luck

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SPX - by moguita - update - CASH

just a thought

http://www.screencast.com/users/moguita2/folders/Jing/media/67174f8f-a1fb-440b-8a14-06644bef5e6f

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SPX - by moguita - update



Good luck

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SPX - by moguita

Friday, June 25, 2010

Here is the primary count.



And here the same count in "micro"




The less bear case is in SPX cash

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update - CASH

Following yesterday update:

http://www.screencast.com/users/moguita2/folders/Jing/media/12b3707a-a1e9-476a-98f9-adb6b679c4ac

Good Luck

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Possible cash count

Thursday, June 24, 2010

http://www.screencast.com/users/moguita2/folders/Jing/media/0712a4f5-8540-46f8-9c6e-9e1c0113fcfb

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SPX - by moguita - update



one alternative is that (iv)in red finish at 1099.8 and we already had seen 123 and 4 and now we shoul see last wave down, this means that the movement from 1094 is a 3 and not a 1

good luck

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SPX - by moguita

Wednesday, June 23, 2010



Just a bear possibility, yesterday was too bullish.
Other possibility is that it's done for now, so FOMC will decide the way.

loking at SPX cash, to have an impulsive down, market should have another leg down

good luck

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SPX - by moguita

Tuesday, June 22, 2010






we all know Filipe has better things to do than look at SPX. Who can blame him?

here is my view on SPX, who can blame me?

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I'm father!!!!

Monday, June 21, 2010

My baby was born today at 3.53 a.m. :)))))).

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Good Weekend - Metal Tribute!

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Death was an American death metal band founded in 1983. The band's founder, Chuck Schuldiner, is considered "a pioneering force in death metal". The band ceased to exist after Schuldiner died of brain cancer in 2001.
Death is considered one of the most influential groups in death metal. The band's debut, "Scream Bloody Gore" has been described as "death metal's first archetypal document".
One music biographer has referred to Schuldiner as the "Father of Death Metal" while another has claimed that Schuldiner is "readily acknowledged as the true founder of the U.S. death metal scene".
Rest in beloved peace Chuck Schuldiner!!!!

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Top patterns underway?!

Friday, June 18, 2010

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GBPUSD Update

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Changed the pattern but keep the wave (iv).

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SPX daily update

At medium term I didn't changed my count and still believe SPX must go test, at least , the 1000 area. The short term count still very choppy and unclear. However, I expect some reaction to the downside in the next days. My indicator didn't changed since last day.

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SPX update soon!

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EUR/USD UPDATE


Charts from Moguita. Thanks my friend :).

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SPX daily update

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Didn't have time to do my counts cause these last days I'm finishing the last preparations for my (coming) baby. For the short term my indicator still bullish since monday. So the trend may continue to the upside.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Some doubts how these waves, at short term, fits my big picture. There are some possibilities, however for the moment I'm not sure the best count. What I'm sure is this wave since the 104x's seems corrective with alot of zig zags.
P.S. Sometimes is better don't say anything than count shit waves.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Monday, June 14, 2010

Bearish wedge still alive.

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SPX intraday update (part 2)

Friday, June 11, 2010

My primary count at short term following my last charts from SPX and DAX.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Since May lows and with yesterday rally labelling this waves as impulsive began to seems inappropriate. Following my last DAX chart maybe SPX is labbeling a possible complex triangle.

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DAX intraday update (Part 1)

Sometimes I need follow another indices to undertand better what SPX is labelling. My alternative indice is DAX. What I see, since the April highs, is a huge triangle. As I don't believe in new highs during the next weeks as wave A (blue) had 12 months and it's needed more time for this wave B (at least 3 month). How this count fit SPX? I must see after lunch.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Thursday, June 10, 2010

New highs, gap up and a good rally suggest mayor complex wave ii underway (double zig zag) with possible target at 109x's.

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SPX daily update

I love days like this :). Nothing to add since my last updates. If this count is correct tomorrow SPX will have a good sell off.

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SPX intraday update (Part 4)

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Following my last charts, SPX may finished wave 2. However, for now, is missing confirmation with an impulse wave. So I showed two options:
1st - Wave 2 finished;
2nd - Since the highs SPX will made an abc and wave 2 will be more complex.

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SPX intraday update (Part 3)

Some ending/leandig diagonal since the today highs (time frame 1 min).

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GBPUSD update

Possible triangle still underway.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)

Different pattern similar target.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Following my alternative count the next hours SPX may label this pattern.

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SPX daily update

Nothing changed since my last update. The both counts are still possible. If tomorrow SPX don't made new lows the alternative count is underway.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

The pattern action since last days (possible ending diagonal underway) originate some adjusts of my primary cout at short term.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Possible endind diagonal finished on last lows. Let's see how can labbel this on my charts.

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SPX daily update

Nothing changed since my last update. Not sure if wave ii (brown) already finished.

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SPX daily update

Monday, June 7, 2010

Last session defined the trend for the next coming days. The end of wave ii at 110x's suprise me as I expected a test at 112x's during the open market.
If wave ii already finished, I will not expect any decent pullback in the next days and if this happen will be a great opportunity to add shorts until the 109x's area. At short term the bears are in control and the trend follow the downside, so the bulls must be caution .

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Good Weekend - Metal Tribute!

Saturday, June 5, 2010

Venom are a heavy metal band formed in 1979 in England.
Coming to prominence towards the end of the "New wave of British Heavy Metal", Venom's first two albums – Welcome to Hell (1981) and Black Metal (1982)  – are considered a major influence on thrash metal and extreme metal in general. Venom's second album proved influential enough that its title was used as the name of an extreme metal subgenre: Black Metal.


P.S. During the weekend will show my EW's counts (primary and alternative) at short term (at medium and long term nothing changed).

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SPX intraday update (Part 4)

Friday, June 4, 2010

My counts fail :(. Need more time to understand this action.

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SPX intraday update (Part 3)

Despite the possible H&S's at 5 min, by EW's SPX need one last low to complete this flat wave.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)

At short term the trend still down!

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

At medium term I'm still bearish and began to look at this alternative count. At short term, this wave to the downside don't seems impulsive but a flat wave. So I expect another move to the upside! This and the last chart are my favourite counts for the short and medium term. The next move will be important to define my primary medium term count.

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SPX daily update

Not sure if SPX is in the last uptrend wave.

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SPX daily update

Thursday, June 3, 2010

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Disclaimer

The opinions listed on this blog are of the author only, and shall not be deemed as financial advice, or any other sort of advice. All visitors to the blog should do their own research before making any decisions. This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses any one might sustain from the content provided. Author is not a registered financial advisor. Author does not engage in dispensing financial advice.

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