What Does a Fractal Look Like?

What Does a Fractal Look Like? And What Does It Have to Do with the Stock Market? By Elliott Wave International Although Ralph N. Elliott came to his conclusions 50 years before the new science of fractals blossomed, he took a step that current observers of natural processes have yet to take. He explained not only that the progress of the market was fractal in nature but discovered and described the component patterns. Find out more about the stock market and fractals in this excerpt. Read more.

Good weekend

Friday, January 30, 2009

It was difficult to count waves, during these last two weeks, but finally we have an impulsive wave. All the best in this weekend and hope that you are prepared this upcoming big wave. During the weekend i will do the respective updates but until then listen this beautiful song from Portugal.

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SPX intraday (Part 3)


It is too early but i'm in love with this possible scenario :).

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)


Again so far so good :)...

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)


So far so good :)...

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DAX update intraday (Part 1)


Possible bear count. I like this :P.

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DAX daily update


DAX must fall fast and harder to invalidate this "ending diagonal triangle".

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SPX daily update

This is my preferencial count due the trend line was broken so i think we maybe started the wave iii. However, i will wainting values above the X wave.



So... maybe is also only a (b) wave of this last movement and SPX may finished this wave near os 88x's (if c=a).


On other hand, in cash, SPX maybe will do H&S.

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SPX intraday update (Part 3)

Thursday, January 29, 2009


I see alot waves interceptions so i think this is only a corrective wave. But if we broke consistely the 848 points mayby i must chanche my count.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)


Looks like a corrective wave and similar that i showed last night.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

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DAX daily update


I think in DAX we will see the wave iv during the morning of tomorrow.

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SPX daily update


SPX may extend a little more this upside wave. The fall before the close seams more corrective and typical of wave iv. In this wave iv i made two possible counts but i prefer the abcde count because usually these kind of waves are more complex. Possible final target of this upside (wave ii) about 88x-89x points.

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Double bottom on VIX?

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

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SPX intraday update (Part 3)



Possible count for this wave.

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What a feeling...

These days my head fells like a washing machine...


but when the bulls play with triangles and corrective combinations can be caught!!!

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SPX intraday update (Parte 2)


Potential turning points.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)


Sometimes if you don't understand Elliott waves or they are too choopy is better follow the channel. Try to see the futures, cfd's and cash to have a better "image" of the markets.

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DAX intraday update (Part 1)


DAX is doing, also, some kind of a corrective combination.

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SPX daily update



The markets are still very choppy but i think the final target of this wave ii will be between 860 (second picture) or 890 points (first picture).

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Tuesday, January 27, 2009


Interesting chanel in futures.

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DAX daily update


My two cents for DAX.

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SPX dialy update



These last days have been, in my opinion, alot confused and complexed. The waves are always intercepted and make the counts very difficult. However, i made two possible counts, but when the market made this kind of movements i prefer stay away and waint to see what happens.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Monday, January 26, 2009

I need more data to understand this last movement but the last count is invalidated.

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spx intraday update (Part 1)



I didn't expect this for SPX but if we had a higher high is because we are on wave ii.

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SPX daily update


As expected, SPX reacted badly to the 93x's. I expected, like DAX, new lows during this week.

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DAX daily update


Dax is doing some kind of "ending diagonal triangle". So, i expect new lows during this week.

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Good weekend

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Hard week for the bull and bears with a lot of volatility and uncertainty. I hope next week everything is more clarified. During the weekend i will do my updates.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Friday, January 23, 2009


The count is complicated but i don't believe that wave ii is already finished. So, maybe SPX still in wave iv of principal i doing some kind of triangle.

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DAX daily update


Similar count to DAX and be careful for the possible triangle. If DAX broke the trend lines (support or resistence) the movement may accelerate.

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SPX daily update

Thursday, January 22, 2009


Another difficult and complicated day for the bulls. When everybody expected rises for today, SPX decided counteract. During all day i thought, everything's normal, despite the high retracement, but the reaction after the test of the 839 points made me think about it. For this reason i will show two possible counts and beware the possible triangle that can be being drawn.

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SPX intraday update - Dangerous Channel for the bulls

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DAX intraday update (Part 2)


DAX had done already the principal wave (A) and is doing the principal wave (B). Maybe this principal wave will be on 3-3-5. I don't think that this uptrend had finished.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)


My two cents for SPX.

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DAX intraday update (Part 1)


DAX already made 5 waves so i think this is the wave (b) of ii.

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DAX dialy update

Wednesday, January 21, 2009


My two cents for DAX. I strongly believe that this wave (a) will be at 12345 but everthing is possible.

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SPX daily update


The spx made only a lower low with 0.6 points. I expected a new lower low in the futures, but it went against my will. To help the "party", i didn't noticed the micro wave iv of the final v and the consolidation at 810-816 points also didn't help me. When i arrived home my stop was already activated and the "picture" become more clear.

Sorry guys. Today, i'm sad because not only i wanted long in this uptrend, but also, and the most important, because i didn't had the correct vision of the markets.

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SPX update intraday (Part 5)

Yes i find it and it's confirm. We are now on sub iii of "a" of "ii" of this uptrend. Latter i will do the respective chart.

Wave i = 803 - 817
Wave ii = 817 -810
Wave iii = 810 - ?

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SPX intraday update (Part 4)

So, it seems that we are already in wave ii of this principal downtrend. At night i will recount again. The charts today are very choopy.

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SPX intraday update (Part 3)



Choopy day and maybe is doing something like that. Those Figures shows one corrective combination in a bull market and don't forget that we are in a bear market.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)


My count was invalidated. I will buy calls on next retracement with stop on 804 points. The donwtrend is over? This wave v will be extensive? I need more data to have those questions.

EDIT: This for me is not a impulsive wave so i will keep my puts. As Sulla said maybe is a complexe corrective wave.

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DAX intraday update (Part 2)


Onother alternative count to DAX. However, i prefer the last nigth count and the uptrend is began.

EDIT: Alternative count invalidated.

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DAX intraday update (Part 1)

No chart but DAX is already on micro v of sub v of principal i. Mabybe will extend and finished near of 4000 points.

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DAX daily update


The last micro wave iii of v seems to me somewhat compressed, so i will not surprise if extends a litle more.

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SPX daily update

Tuesday, January 20, 2009


So, after all by my count is still missing two micro waves to this downtrend ends.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)


Choppy day but i think today this downtrend can be finished.

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DAX intraday update (Part 2)


I think this downtrend will finished soon.

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DAX intraday update (Part 1)



EDIT: Forget the last picture because the target was alredy made as you can see in this new picture. The downtrend maybe will finish today because this last wave v is on abcde (ending diagonal triagle).

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)


The waves are overlap and turn the count more difficult. However this is my chart.

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SPX daily update

Monday, January 19, 2009


As DAX made a new lower low i had changed my count. During the weekend i suspected that SPX was not in wave ii and now because of DAX i'm more convinced that is yet in sub wave iv of principal i of this downtrend.

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DAX dialy update



DAX had made a new lower low and i told you yesterday that the friday's increase were suspicious. So, i made a new count, as i don't believe that already we are in the wave iii of this downtreand.

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The opinions listed on this blog are of the author only, and shall not be deemed as financial advice, or any other sort of advice. All visitors to the blog should do their own research before making any decisions. This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses any one might sustain from the content provided. Author is not a registered financial advisor. Author does not engage in dispensing financial advice.

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