Happy New Year ))))!!!!

Friday, December 31, 2010

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SPX - alternative count at medium term)

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Some alternative count, at medium term, send by a good friend.
For me the odds don't suggest this count but as you know ... in the markets everthing can happen!

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SPX daily update

Despite my last alternative count, my primary is still the same.
Expect some retracement at 126x's-127x's and then let see which is the correct count. At these values is important keep your mind open to another possibilities.

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SPX daily update (alternative count at short term)

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Following my medium term count, SPX is at wave 5. Into this wave 5 seems last weeks SPX is labelling a ending diagonal so decided to show my alternative count.

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I Wish You a Merry Christmas!

Friday, December 24, 2010

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SPX - by moguita

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Hi,
i know SPX is Filipe's territory (sorry), just want to share a thought

Good luck

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Monday, December 20, 2010

Primary count still alive and seems wave iii of iii of v is underway!

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EUR/USD

Sunday, December 19, 2010








well, wave 1 down still needs one more leg down to be completed.
My alternative count is that we can be in a extended iii of 1, if so we are in (iii) of iii of 1 down

Good luck

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SPX intraday update (part 1)

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Nothing changed since my last update. As expected new high will be made, then some correction will be happen.

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SPX intraday update (part 1)

Monday, December 13, 2010

Not sure if wave i of v already finished. Maybe this wave is a leading diagonal. These last two days the pattern don't seems impulsive so I'm not sure if SPX is already on wave iii of v.

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SPX intraday update (Part 2)

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Alternative count (no chart): wave i of v still underway and wave v of i of v is a bearish weadge or ending diagobal.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Not sure if wave ii of v already finished but I would like to see a deeper retracement.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Monday, December 6, 2010

Since my last update wave 5 is in play. Seems the first wave of wave 5 is close to finished.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

After all, with yesterday action, seems SPX is forming a triangle. In my primary count the triangle is still incomplete.

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SPX intraday update (part 1)

Monday, November 29, 2010

Irregular wave B of principal wave iv finished at 1200 points.

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SPX daily update

Thursday, November 25, 2010

Consolidation time! Possible simple correction or triangle underway in this wave iv.

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EUR/USD

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

1-2 1-2 or some kind of triangle? Don't think the blue count will prevail


The only way the blue count could prevail is that this move down was a A of some kind of triangle to complete the iv wave. I don't buy it.


For now i'll keep the II wave as a running flat.

Good Luck


PS: just want to say god bye to an "old" friend that left us. Rest in peace my good friend Joaquim Magalhães. You will allways be in the heart of those who had the pleasure to met you

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SPX daily update

Monday, November 22, 2010

Following my last medium term update I expect some laterization during the next days! After that SPX shall be made new highs.

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EUR/USD

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Finally some time to put a decent update.
The red is my primary count. The blue one is the bull option. It could be an ABCDE and now we are finishing the "D".
Either way i expect a move down and expect new lows.


The blue line is the limit for the bull count


This is the short count. The next move could bring 1,39's

Good Luck.

PS: till the end of the year, i will have little time to update the count. But i'll try to put an update at least one time for week

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Forex FreeWeek is Live at EWI

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Forex FreeWeek is now live and ends next Thursday, November 18 at noon EST. They are giving away full access to our intraday and end-of-day Forex forecasts via free access to our Currency Specialty Service.

FreeWeek also has many Elliott wave resources that appeal to everyone, including the Subscribers-Only Message Board, a weekly video update, The Basics of the Wave Principle 90-minute video, and subscribers-only reports.

P.S. Still keep my last SPX update as the primary count!

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SPX daily update

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Still count this correction as wave iv of v.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Monday, November 8, 2010

Consolidation day forming a possible triangle (minor wave iv). Charts latter!

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G05t0 de j0g05 a55im c0m tant05 g0l05!

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SPX daily update

Friday, November 5, 2010

This extention of wave 5 suggest more days for the bulls.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Thursday, November 4, 2010

At these values SPX easily may go at 122x's! Latter I will show my chart at short term (possible wave iii of iii of v  underway).

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SPX daily update

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Boring days and shoppy waves to count. For now I will keep my previous count at short term. Decided to remember my 2 options for the medium term.

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SPX daily update

Thursday, October 28, 2010

With today's action I made some changes in my primary count.
Despite the overlaping waves during this entire wave (since 103x's), this new count seems much better than the last. Therefore seems SPX is doing an wave 5 and some top at short term (at least) is coming!

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SPX daily update

Monday, October 25, 2010

Nothing changed since my last update and the channel is still intact. The bulls are still in control and the bears must wait for better days.

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SPX daily update

Friday, October 22, 2010

The count is not perfect and the waves at this point aren't clear.
Despite this, with today's highs I will expected higher values in the next days.
For now is better follow the trend and the bears must wait for some true bearish signal.

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SPX - just a thought

Thursday, October 21, 2010

I'm very short in time. Just want to share a thought.

Filipe will put an update today...i hope ;)

Good Luck

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SPX intraday update - Part 1

New highs means extention of this wave 5. Latter I will show my charts.

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SPX daily update

Monday, October 18, 2010

At short term didn't like the last pattern since the last highs (looks corrective) so is possible (again) another higher high. For the medium term  and for the bear case everthing still the same. For the bull case decided to show a ultra bullish count.

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SPX daily update

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Following my last update the ending diagonal is still in play. Not sure if already finished.

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SPX daily update

Monday, October 11, 2010

Following the bearish count the last wave should be an ending diagonal.

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SPX daily update

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Since my last update nothing changed! The bears need a strong pulback to show that the short term trend changed. For the bull case this last wave v must extended a little more for despair of bears.

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SPX - by moguita - update

Tuesday, October 5, 2010


Expanded?

Not sure, but Mr. market it's keeping hard to count

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Thursday, September 30, 2010


I like this count ;))

Now it must fall...

Good luck

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Dow Downfall: Index to Fall Below 1,000 says Prechter on CNBC

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SPX - by moguita - update

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Had to change the place of that 4, since we went nowhere since yesterday's update
Maybe we still have some more ZZ in this 4, but i think you get the picture

Good Luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Counting this as a triple ZZ expanded diagonal. On horrible numbers in consumer confidence the market just rally...is this optimistic?

Good Luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Monday, September 27, 2010

This is my long term count. I think market will try to test the upper band, but it's possible that this is already done
Still not confortable with the count in that messy sub-wave, but let's put this one and wait what market thinks about it. One possibility is that we are now in blue iv
As i say before, this iv could be a 4 diferent from the degree i had put in this chart. I start to see possible negative divergence in RSI in daily bases, for that reason i say this is minuete iv...for now

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Keeping the bear count that presented yesterday.
It must fall hard if this count is correct

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Wednesday, September 22, 2010


Not too confident, but let's see what tomorrow will bring us

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

The 2 final micro-waves that i was expecting yesterday may had finish. Still need to break 1122 for confirmation

Good Luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Monday, September 20, 2010


Back to counting.
The never ending story goes on. The thought of a wedge went down the toilet, now it looks like a channel. Only below 1122 we have a confirmation

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Friday, September 17, 2010


follwing my last update, this has all the signs of a perfect wedge.
Let´s see what the day brings

Good Luck

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SPX daily update

I'm still on holidays (until the end of the month) but today Moguita can't show his charts. So, Decided to update my charts.
Resuming these last days... everthing still the same!!! My last two charts (long term and short term) are still developing.
During the next days I expect some pullback and higher bear pressure (red is my alternative berish count).

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SPX - just a thought

Wednesday, September 15, 2010


The truncation is dead, Filipe's happy ;))

Mr Market is keeping it hard to count, so today i have no count just this thought

Good luck

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SPX - by moguita - update

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Following last night update...we just hit the neck line, now it must hold
Look's like a never ending story...
last move up seems a 5 wave up, so it may finished truncated...time will tell


Good luckl

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Disclaimer

The opinions listed on this blog are of the author only, and shall not be deemed as financial advice, or any other sort of advice. All visitors to the blog should do their own research before making any decisions. This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses any one might sustain from the content provided. Author is not a registered financial advisor. Author does not engage in dispensing financial advice.

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