DAX intraday update (Part 2)
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Need more data to have more confidence in this count but until now seems nice.
Need more data to have more confidence in this count but until now seems nice.
My two cents for 1 min Cfd's Chart count.
These waves are very messy (cause of that i prefer don't show any chart) but i think my last updates still valid and correct. So for today, i expect a nice pullback, but before that, is still possible SPX and DAX do new highs (see my possible targets on my last updates).
Read more...
Corrective and confusing waves but my target still the same.
Maybe is missing one wave and DAX will test the 61,8 % of Fibonacci. Already short DAX.
Possible final targets for this wave (ii or b):
SPX 925-930 and DAX +-4900.
Time to rest and enjoy the life. I will go to the beach and relax with my friends and hope you do the same or do similar things. Have a great weekend!
Choopy and corrective session. Hard to count these waves but seems good this count.
As i said in last Dax update this wave don't seems impulsive. Possible wedge is forming in SPX.
Beautiful patterns inside this corrective wave.
P.S. Nothing new to say about SPX.
Clearly five waves down so the odds favor the bear case.
After this terrible day (stops fit for days like these) only see two alternative counts. I will enter short again at 928-935 points and the keystone is the next pattern to the downside (will be impulsive or corrective??).
Today was a hard day of work and in the markets. So my primary count is not valid and for now this is my primary count. However don't forget my bull count (I will update latter the both charts).
Until now for my primary count everything is alright but tomorrow we need a true sell off (before this, maybe the bull will try conquer the 91x's).
Seems SPX is in wave 3 of C of (ii) of iii. Maybe the top is on 912 points.
EDIT1: Maybe SPX is already in wave 4 of C of (ii) of iii so the 912 points to a final target of this wave seems until now preety good.
EDIT2: 5 waves down since 910 points so new impulsive wave began. Stop at the today highs.
My primary count still very nice but we must vigilant and prepared for possible alternative counts. So, in general the EW's shows:
1) If SPX do another lower low with out today's higher high the odds favor this choppiness, since yesterday, was wave iv of (i) of iii (triangle) and still valid at same order my alternatives counts (see my yesterdys charts);
2) If SPX do tomorrow another higher high the odds favor wave (ii) of iii until 912 points;
3) If SPX broke the 912 pivot the odds favor my bull case or ultra bear case (see my yesterdys charts).
P.S. I hope continue to improve the blog with your support so if you like this you can being part of this community as follower and/or click on "it" you know what's "it":))).
No time to show any chart and for now is to hard to fit this wave in the big picture. However seems all corrective and maybe, since the lows, is doing a double zig zag.
EDIT: Possible triangle and if is activated new lows will be made.
In cfd's charts seeams an wedge or an triangle so appears wave iv is also almost finished :).
Today i show 3 different possible counts for SPX. I truly believe more in the bear or ultra bear case but at same time i will respect the bull case as i see alot oversold indicators.
Maybe wave iv will arrive soon so i close my shorts. I will try enter short again at 910-915 points.
Read more...
I expect a bloody monday and a gap down for SPX cash next monday cause seems wave ii or b already finished.
For now is time to rest and refresh my mind. Good weekend for all and my video today are from my friends Moonspell as i want see next week some blood and despair in the markets.
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Alternative count. Despite this, i don't play with these minor waves. Hope already all of you are in (and short) :).
Maybe wave ii was completed at 926 points.
Looks like SPX is on wave iv of v of C (Y) of II. So maybe the top of this wave II will be between 928-930 (cfd's value).
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Despite my alternative count i think we are in wave ii doing a double zig zag finished between 925 and 930 points.
This is my alternative count. Just for keep in mind this possibility.
Choppy morning and only can see abc's followed abc's. So this can be yet wave iv of i or wave b of ii. Very difficult to have certainty at this moment.
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This is my preferencial count for dax. I have some doudts when began this downtrend but soon i have the answer.
P.S. On SPX the last count until now seems perfect so i don't made new chart.
My favorite count for SPX cash.
My primary count for dax. Latter i will show the big picture since the March lows.
I remain suspicious of this decrease, due the bear case have some problems like possible truncation on cfd's (and futures) and for other hand the wave Y was to small for me (if i count since the March lows like 12345 waves, as i showed last night, this problem disappears). Because of my suspicious i recovered my shorts at the end of the session. The next upside pattern will be important to clarify my counts.
P.S. It's possible wave v is not over yet but i not expect a large drop since the closing session.
Still count in spx cash and seems we are in wave 3 of 5. Any rebound to 920 i will considerate like wave iv of v (stop at 923,64).
Sorry guys i had a difficult day and didn't had time to do any update during the day. Today was a perfect day for the bears but i'm flat cause everthing still possible. The patterns are alot confusing and hard to count in cfd's. So i showed two different counts on SPX cash (bear and bull case). Despite all, tomorrow i expect another lower low and then let's see what the bulls will do.
As everyone knows I'm on holidays this week but despite this i updated my charts every day. If you worked this week hope you enjoy this weekend to relax, go to the beach and drink and eat well. Life is very good and i'm feeling alive :))).
Everthing clear and all right for now. Maybe this wave C could finished between 990 and 1000 points. Let's see how wave iii will develop.
Similar count for DAX. no change nothing in the big picture. New highs are coming.
Not change nothing in DAX, despite the confusing intraday patterns. 5300 points here we go!!!!
P.S. Corrective patterns sucks :(((!!!!!
I expected new highs very soon despite the confusing patterns. This time i give two alternative counts but for now i prefer the triangle.
Maybe is missing one simply wave to complete this wave A of P2.
After all SPX still in wave B so may test again the 920-925 area.
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