SPX 10 min

Thursday, August 20, 2009


Hi friends.

I've been monitoring spx in detail to look for a sweet spot to enter with my last 25% position. Did not work for half a point or something. Once the job is done, i decided to post it here. For now, everything seems to align with our recent posts. Yesterday's move looks really impulsive.

Best to your trading
PH

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SPX daily update


Appears wave B already finished today in cfd's charts.
Now, C waves usually respects certain Fibonacci ratios based on A price movement. With that in mind the final targets for this final wave C of Z can be:
Wave C of Z = 0.618*a = 1070 points;
Wave C of Z = a = 1127 points;
Wave C of Z = 1.618*a = 1218 points.

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Nasdaq corrective pattern seems to be done

Wednesday, August 19, 2009


Hello there.
Let's talk about irregular correction ABC's. An irregular correction is when the "b" wave tops higher then previous wave "a" high. This is a perfect bull trap because when we think the market will move higher, he starts correcting on a tremendous "c" wave down.
Now, "c" waves usually respects certain Fibonacci ratios based on "a" price movement. It can be:
c = a
c = 1,618*a
c = 2,618*a
With that in mind and assuming that the nasdaq is making an irregular corrective abc, with a little math c = 1,618*a=75,07 points. the market has done 76,4... pretty close.

Best to your trading
PH

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Dow Transportation and Nasdaq 100 update



Hi friends. Had to change my count for a little more bear view. The "respectable" channel was seriously violated, and for now i anticipate at least one more leg down.
Don't get fooled. Primary trend is still up so i won't recommend any kind of short positions in this market. I think 38% fibo around 62,50 may be a sweet spot to start taking long positions again.
Same goes to Nasdaq. If my wave degrees were correct we should resume the trend shortly. If not, then blue is rose and rose is yellow, meaning that we could hit the 50 or the 61,8 fibo next week.

Best to your trading
PH

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SPX daily update


Todays action seems like a small correction wave since the yesterday lows. So at least i expected one test until 96x's-97x's.

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SPX daily update

Tuesday, August 18, 2009


After some hard weeks, finally the wave patterns were more clear and suggest one flat wave in this wave B.
If you like this chart: https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAPt-zBZht5M_SlhWLiDH8hyphenhyphenHN_s5Y4pB2NjsOaLcMaSIIlWoIvu_C7ulPpVHYcEhay5W-SxYvJWGRQP0__xJ3E5RKJh7mUha9F-yoiOdzXGL4q_voDXzScsvtWX0npTTpTUodY285OOcM/s1600-h/spx-1.jpg it's possible the top were already made at 1018. However, for now i will prefer count this wave as "B" (the label suggests a corrective wave) and waiting for one last wave "C" to finished this rally since the March lows.

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SPX daily update

Monday, August 17, 2009



Since several weeks SPX is inside various corrective combinations so the patterns are not clear. Despite this my primary count (new medium term count) shows SPX is doing a final wave of this bear market labelling an ending diagonal. My alternative count suggests SPX still inside wave B doing a double zig zag (old medium term count).

P.S. Until the end of the month i will be on vacation but i will try update all days the SPX count. Best to you trading.

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SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Friday, August 14, 2009

No time for any chart but we are in the same swamp as the previous days (weeks) so a lot of different readings are still possible. The diferent valid counts are:
Wave B doing double zig zag (old count in the big picture); wave b of v of v (last count in the big picture); possible triangle.

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Hello friends.

In the sequence of my weekend update i leave you the Dow transportation index chart. I think rose wave 4 is done and that we have started a final sequence of waves. Plus, there's a pretty nice channel that deserves "maximum respecto" ;)

Best to you trading
PH

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The opinions listed on this blog are of the author only, and shall not be deemed as financial advice, or any other sort of advice. All visitors to the blog should do their own research before making any decisions. This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses any one might sustain from the content provided. Author is not a registered financial advisor. Author does not engage in dispensing financial advice.

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