Happy New Year ))))!!!!

SPX - alternative count at medium term)

Some alternative count, at medium term, send by a good friend.

For me the odds don't suggest this count but as you know ... in the markets everthing can happen!

SPX daily update

Despite my last alternative count, my primary is still the same.

Expect some retracement at 126x's-127x's and then let see which is the correct count. At these values is important keep your mind open to another possibilities.

SPX daily update (alternative count at short term)

Following my medium term count, SPX is at wave 5. Into this wave 5 seems last weeks SPX is labelling a ending diagonal so decided to show my alternative count.

I Wish You a Merry Christmas!

SPX - by moguita

Hi,
i know SPX is Filipe's territory (sorry), just want to share a thought

Good luck

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Primary count still alive and seems wave iii of iii of v is underway!

EUR/USD

well, wave 1 down still needs one more leg down to be completed.
My alternative count is that we can be in a extended iii of 1, if so we are in (iii) of iii of 1 down

Good luck

SPX intraday update (part 1)

Nothing changed since my last update. As expected new high will be made, then some correction will be happen.

SPX intraday update (part 1)

Not sure if wave i of v already finished. Maybe this wave is a leading diagonal. These last two days the pattern don't seems impulsive so I'm not sure if SPX is already on wave iii of v.

SPX intraday update (Part 2)

Alternative count (no chart): wave i of v still underway and wave v of i of v is a bearish weadge or ending diagobal.

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Not sure if wave ii of v already finished but I would like to see a deeper retracement.

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Since my last update wave 5 is in play. Seems the first wave of wave 5 is close to finished.

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

After all, with yesterday action, seems SPX is forming a triangle. In my primary count the triangle is still incomplete.

SPX intraday update (part 1)

Irregular wave B of principal wave iv finished at 1200 points.

SPX daily update

Consolidation time! Possible simple correction or triangle underway in this wave iv.

EUR/USD

1-2 1-2 or some kind of triangle? Don't think the blue count will prevail


The only way the blue count could prevail is that this move down was a A of some kind of triangle to complete the iv wave. I don't buy it.


For now i'll keep the II wave as a running flat.

Good Luck


PS: just want to say god bye to an "old" friend that left us. Rest in peace my good friend Joaquim Magalhães. You will allways be in the heart of those who had the pleasure to met you

SPX daily update

Following my last medium term update I expect some laterization during the next days! After that SPX shall be made new highs.

EUR/USD

Finally some time to put a decent update.
The red is my primary count. The blue one is the bull option. It could be an ABCDE and now we are finishing the "D".
Either way i expect a move down and expect new lows.


The blue line is the limit for the bull count


This is the short count. The next move could bring 1,39's

Good Luck.

PS: till the end of the year, i will have little time to update the count. But i'll try to put an update at least one time for week

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P.S. Still keep my last SPX update as the primary count!

SPX daily update

Still count this correction as wave iv of v.

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

Consolidation day forming a possible triangle (minor wave iv). Charts latter!

G05t0 de j0g05 a55im c0m tant05 g0l05!

SPX daily update

This extention of wave 5 suggest more days for the bulls.

SPX intraday update (Part 1)

At these values SPX easily may go at 122x's! Latter I will show my chart at short term (possible wave iii of iii of v  underway).

SPX daily update

Boring days and shoppy waves to count. For now I will keep my previous count at short term. Decided to remember my 2 options for the medium term.

SPX daily update

With today's action I made some changes in my primary count.

Despite the overlaping waves during this entire wave (since 103x's), this new count seems much better than the last. Therefore seems SPX is doing an wave 5 and some top at short term (at least) is coming!

SPX daily update

Nothing changed since my last update and the channel is still intact. The bulls are still in control and the bears must wait for better days.

SPX daily update

The count is not perfect and the waves at this point aren't clear.

Despite this, with today's highs I will expected higher values in the next days.

For now is better follow the trend and the bears must wait for some true bearish signal.

SPX - just a thought

I'm very short in time. Just want to share a thought.

Filipe will put an update today...i hope ;)

Good Luck

SPX intraday update - Part 1

New highs means extention of this wave 5. Latter I will show my charts.

SPX daily update

At short term didn't like the last pattern since the last highs (looks corrective) so is possible (again) another higher high. For the medium term  and for the bear case everthing still the same. For the bull case decided to show a ultra bullish count.

SPX daily update

Following my last update the ending diagonal is still in play. Not sure if already finished.

SPX daily update

Following the bearish count the last wave should be an ending diagonal.

SPX daily update

Since my last update nothing changed! The bears need a strong pulback to show that the short term trend changed. For the bull case this last wave v must extended a little more for despair of bears.

SPX - by moguita - update

Expanded?

Not sure, but Mr. market it's keeping hard to count

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

I like this count ;))

Now it must fall...

Good luck

Dow Downfall: Index to Fall Below 1,000 says Prechter on CNBC

SPX - by moguita - update

Had to change the place of that 4, since we went nowhere since yesterday's update
Maybe we still have some more ZZ in this 4, but i think you get the picture

Good Luck

SPX - by moguita - update

Counting this as a triple ZZ expanded diagonal. On horrible numbers in consumer confidence the market just rally...is this optimistic?

Good Luck

SPX - by moguita - update

This is my long term count. I think market will try to test the upper band, but it's possible that this is already done
Still not confortable with the count in that messy sub-wave, but let's put this one and wait what market thinks about it. One possibility is that we are now in blue iv
As i say before, this iv could be a 4 diferent from the degree i had put in this chart. I start to see possible negative divergence in RSI in daily bases, for that reason i say this is minuete iv...for now

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

Keeping the bear count that presented yesterday.
It must fall hard if this count is correct

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

Not too confident, but let's see what tomorrow will bring us

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

The 2 final micro-waves that i was expecting yesterday may had finish. Still need to break 1122 for confirmation

Good Luck

SPX - by moguita - update

Back to counting.
The never ending story goes on. The thought of a wedge went down the toilet, now it looks like a channel. Only below 1122 we have a confirmation

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

follwing my last update, this has all the signs of a perfect wedge.
Let´s see what the day brings

Good Luck

SPX daily update

I'm still on holidays (until the end of the month) but today Moguita can't show his charts. So, Decided to update my charts.

Resuming these last days... everthing still the same!!! My last two charts (long term and short term) are still developing.

During the next days I expect some pullback and higher bear pressure (red is my alternative berish count).

SPX - just a thought

The truncation is dead, Filipe's happy ;))

Mr Market is keeping it hard to count, so today i have no count just this thought

Good luck

SPX - by moguita - update

Following last night update...we just hit the neck line, now it must hold
Look's like a never ending story...
last move up seems a 5 wave up, so it may finished truncated...time will tell


Good luckl