As expected, wheat still in his downtrend to complete 5 waves. On the big picture, the EW's suggest the formation of a triangle from the 2009 lows. However, recently wheat activated an H&S's. Thus, the bulls must be attention and use stops below the 2009 lows.
Sunday, January 31, 2010
GBPUSD Update
At short term the harmonic analysis suggest at least a small rebound. However, by EW's the last pattern was made by simple abc, which turns the big picture a little more bearish.
Despite this, GBP still inside the consolidarion area but I believe the price will precipitate if the support/resistence is broken.
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Friday, January 29, 2010
SPX intraday update (Part 1)
Looks like ending/leading diagonal underway. Truly don't expect new lows. If this happen , maybe this wave v of i will be extended (don't expect this cause wave iii of i was already extended) . Good luck.
DAX intraday update (Part 1)
Quick chart before lunch :). Possible test on MA200 is possible due the EW's count at short term suggest new lows.
EDIT: At 15 min chart the EW's count suggest the end of wave v of i.
EDIT: At 15 min chart the EW's count suggest the end of wave v of i.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
SPX daily update
New lows but the same comments made this morning.
P.S. Is possible SPX cash already finished this wave i, however at futures seems is missing one new low.
P.S. Is possible SPX cash already finished this wave i, however at futures seems is missing one new low.
SPX daily update
Seems wave ii began and a possible H&S is forming. If the next test at 108x's fall the possible target of wave iii will be 1010.
P.S. Alternative count still possible.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
SPX daily update (Part 4)
Alternative (bearish) count (futures) from moguita. For now i will keep my primary count but the next retracement and pattern will be important.
GBPUSD Update
This pattern seems more consolidation but is better follow the horizontal resistence/support. If one of these areas broken the movement can be accelarate.
Wheat update
Feels it's missing at least one wave to complete this pattern. I believe wheat is inside a triangle.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
SPX and DAX intraday update

Seems DAX (impulsive wave) and SPX (double zig zag) are already on wave "a" of ii.
P.S. Don't forget my alternative count. If this is the correct count this wave will be iv of i.
Monday, January 25, 2010
Sunday, January 24, 2010
SPX daily update
Didn't have time during this weekend to clean my "drafts" made on friday.
The odds sugest this wave "i" didn't finished on friday. For the bulls the first important resistence will be at 1110. For the bears the next target to win will be the 109x's-108x's area.
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Good Weekend
It was an excellent week for the bears and seems P3 already began. Now it's time to rest and stay with the family :). Hope you enjoy the newest clip from Gomo and have a good weekend!
Friday, January 22, 2010
Thursday, January 21, 2010
EUR/USD
well, the price movement make me change my primary option to the green one. As i see it we still are in primary one.
If the price turns here (red/blue count) primary I/A is done and we head for a 50% retracement.
But the paralel channel and the news that came from euro zone (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and ... Portugal) make me prefer the green count
PS: as i'm short in time, maybe i made some big mistakes in my count, if so please let me know
Good luck
SPX and horizontal support/resistence
SPX and moving average
SPX is testing MA50 and is important to the bears to stay above this. This is another important indicator for the short term! So keep the eyes on the 1130 and on MA50. The trend line seems to be broken but we need some kind of confirmation of it.
Until the 113x's the mother north awake!
SPX and DAX intraday update (Part 2)
P3 or mayor correction is underway and the bear seems had arrived! Possible end of this wave iii at 1100's and the keey of this downside is the 1130.
SPX intraday update (Part 1)
No time for charts but these are my two cents:
a) Above 114x's the odds suggest new highs (primary count)
b) Below 112x's the odds suggest mayor correction (alternative count).
Good trades to all!
a) Above 114x's the odds suggest new highs (primary count)
b) Below 112x's the odds suggest mayor correction (alternative count).
Good trades to all!
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
GBPUSD Update
At short term seems is missing one last wave to the upside. After that a batterfly bearish will form, giving space to some kind of retrace.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
SPX intraday update (Part 2)
Maybe the first leg of wave v is finishing. Expected some retrace during the nigth and part of the day of tomorrow.
SPX intraday update (Part 1)
As as told yesterday and following my primary count I expect this down side will end at 112x's.
Monday, January 18, 2010
EUR/USD UPDATE
SPX daily update
By my "big picture" is possible one more wave up to finished this expanding diagonal triangle. The bearish count (alternative count) shows P2 already finished.
Despite this, at short term I expected new lows (wave v of C), maybe between 1120-1130.
GBPUSD Update
Using harminic patterns you can see a gartley bearish but by EW's the upside may not finished at short term.
Wheat update
Following the big picture seems wave b or ii will be in some corrective pattern as triangle or flat wave.
Friday, January 15, 2010
SPX daily update
Expect tomorrow some correction at session's beginning but the close maybe will be strong and at the highs of the week.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
SPX daily update (Part 1)
Two options to considerate. Bearish count is P2 already began and the first leg was made by leading diagonal (I have doubts in this count).
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
SPX daily update
As promised this afternoon the bullish count for SPX is here. Above 1142 this count will turn my primary count. See you tomorrow :)!
GBPUSD Update
In my last update I sayed GBPUSD were doing a double zig zag. After one month seems the double zig zag already finished. As I expected at least one simple abc (in big picture) it's possible another zig zag for the downside. At short term this looks more a corrective pattern so I may will change the big picture very soon and turn it more bullish.





























